Friday, July 29, 2011

About the current state of the US economy

My analysis is that the US economy on the overall is still fragile and downtrends will come.

From my stand point the US is still a land of opportunities, it has so many factors that make it a land for Positive Black Swans.

I think any given economy needs to identify its fragile points to avoid potential disasters caused by Negative Black Swans, I also believe that it needs to be in the way of potential big growth caused by positive Black Swans.

Results on 28-July-2011

I made the calculations for my full list, it is made of 210 US stocks picked in April 2010. The picks were stored in a text file that has the property "Last modified on 04-15-2010" which proves that the picks of the said stocks were actually picked on the said period.

Here are the stats, everything was calculated starting from 15-Apr-2010:

List composed of 210 stocks.

The most profitable:
Ticker | Highest | Comment
NYSE:KV.A | +635%
NASDAQ:ZAGG | +422% | Trending now !
NASDAQ:JVA | +451% | Trending now !
NASDAQ:CVV | +362% | Trending now !
NASDAQ:MGIC | +284%
NASDAQ:MIPS | +274%
NASDAQ:HSTM | + 227% | Trending now !
NASDAQ:VIFL | +202% | Trending now !

The number of stocks that exceeded +100% in growth is 34. Which covers vastly the losses of the 22 companies that went out of business.

If all stocks were held from 15-Apr-2010 to 28-Jul-2011. See below:


If the stocks that surpassed +100% were sold at their highest levels. See below: