My analysis is that the US economy on the overall is still fragile and downtrends will come.
From my stand point the US is still a land of opportunities, it has so many factors that make it a land for Positive Black Swans.
I think any given economy needs to identify its fragile points to avoid potential disasters caused by Negative Black Swans, I also believe that it needs to be in the way of potential big growth caused by positive Black Swans.